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Monday, October 24, 2011

Can I Get 40% (NASDAQ: NFLX)

NEW YORK - Netflix may have just reported the worst quarter ever as the company announced Q3 profit which shrunk by $6 million compared to Q2 from $68 million. Worse was subscribers dropped for the first time in a long time and revenue as a whole only grew 4.1% sequentially to $821 million. The company also guided way down for their next quarter as they expect net income only between $19 and $37 million. They expect to lose domestic streaming and dvd subcriptions in Q4.

Worse yet amortization of streaming content will rise by at least $100 million in the next year it grew 30% sequentially, this means profits will drop dramatically going forward since revenue is no longer increasing. If content costs continue their skyrocketing rate then Netflix may report shaply lower profits or a loss in the next year. We calculate content costs could rise to over $200 million a quarter.

Even worse yet the company's financial position is treacherous. Its current ratio which was never that impressive has gone from 6/4 to almost 1/1. Current assets excluding content shows a current ratio of 1/2. Netflix appears to be on the net track towards bankruptcy protection.

Click here to read our Netflix Report

6 comments:

  1. Bankruptcy? What a joke.

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  2. look at their current ratio. Its a terrible financial condition.

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  3. So they raised their fees by 60% and lost about 5% of their customer base. This is bad news...why?

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  4. Cuz earnings declined by $6 million and are expected to decline by 50% next quarter and likely more in 2012 with more costs and subscriber base is likely to continue to drop. All with a horrible balance sheet.

    Good News Where?

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  5. Seems like an overreaction to me. They beat expectations in everything except subscriber losses.

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  6. What about the next quarter! Guidance was bad, really bad.

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