The
44 percent surge in Nokia Corporation’s (ADR)(NYSE:NOK) share prices last week
has brought into focus a tendency of the market to sound a premature death
knell for companies.
For
more than a year now Nokia has been at the receiving end of the Street and tech
analysts who have all but buried the company for not being able to keep up with
Apple and Samsung in the smartphone segment.
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Free Trend Analysis on NOK
But
there is no doubt that the company has been quietly working on the side-lines
as testified to by its quarterly sales volumes and the sudden spike in its
share price. Somebody somewhere knows something that the vast majority doesn’t.
In
the quarter to June, the Finnish handset maker sold about 4 million units of
its Lumia phones, beating analyst expectations by about a million. Overall its
phone sales volume rose by 4 percent from the previous sequential quarter,
again belying market forecasts of a 4 percent decline.
In
the era of smartphones, smarter tablets and applications that are touted to do
everything for you - except maybe cook your breakfast - Nokia is still churning
out feature phones, a category that has been identified as endangered.
However
the fact that the phones are moving off the shelves is proof that the market is
not yet ready to order the coffin. It looks like the smartphone explosion may
be over-exaggerated and the death of the feature phone a hasty conclusion.
Has
NOK Found The Bottom And The Stock Continues
to Rally?
Analysts
tracking the stock have realised that Nokia's cash position is actually
healthier than they thought. A part of the rise in its shares is, of course, to
be attributable to bears covering their short positions, as they had
anticipated a further fall in its share price. The rise in shares caught them
by surprise.
Those,
who did not want their dire predictions to be seen as so much hot air, then
invented the takeover rumour - on Wednesday the buzz was about Lenovo making a
bid for the phone company - to justify the rise in its prices.
It
was the reverse in the case of game developer Zynga Inc(NASDAQ:ZNGA). When it
bought OMGPOP for $200 million in March, analysts scrambled to up its stock
rating with fantastic price targets.
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ZNGA Rebound After Recent Slump? Get Free Trend
Analysis
Sadly,
"Draw Something" the game from OMGPOP's portfolio failed to set the
game market on fire while Facebook's numerous and constant tweaks to its site
algorithms made sure that players were unable to find Zynga' existing games.
Monotony had also set in with Zynga's repetitive game mechanics on the social
network.
The
results are there for everyone to see. Zynga's share prices have lost half
their value since mid-July to as low as $3 a share.
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