Viewing the detritions in the fundamental business
conditions in the U.S steel industry over the next 12 to 18 months, Moody's
Investors Service has changed its rating from “Stable” to “Negative” for the US
steel industry.
Import represents risk, as US steel demands are not
enough to meet its sustainability over 12 to 18 months, viewed Moody.
Moody's says in the new report, "US Steel
Industry Outlook Turns Negative on Weakening Fundamentals."
As
manufacturing and industrial activity are slowing down the US Institute of
Supply Management's Purchasing Management Index (PMI) has stayed just below 50
for each of the three months through August resulting in cumbers economic
conditions. This will impact demand for steel.
Will
The Steel Sector rebound? Find Out Here
Senior Credit
Officer, Carol Cowan, and a Moody's Vice President said: "While capacity
utilization levels remain above 70%, they have slowed since peaking in April
2012 and will likely continue at lower levels."
The sovereign debt and banking crisis in Europe and
slow GDP growth in China, and increasing rate of steel imports in U.S are major
reasons those has to be taken into consideration.
"While the increased import levels do not
affect all areas of the industry equally, they continue to disrupt a market
that has not yet returned to historical run rates," says Cowan. "With
slowing demand globally, imports will remain problematic."
An increased reading of Purchasing Management Index
above 55 and expectations for sustained capacity utilization above 80% could
lead to a positive outlook, Moody's says.
AK Steel Holding Corporation(NYSE:AKS)slid 1% to
$4.85, ArcelorMittal (ADR)(NYSE:MT) slid 1%, Steel Dynamics, Inc.(NASDAQ:STLD)
down 0.50%, Nucor Corporation(NYSE:NUE) jumped 1% and United States Steel
Corporation(NYSE:X) fell 1%.
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