Apple Inc.(NASDAQ:AAPL)’s weak outlook for the holiday
quarter has had analysts scramble again to do more permutations and
combinations on their excel sheets.
While by any other standards, Apple's guidance for the
December quarter would be seen as record revenues for a tech company, since it
is Apple it has to conform to a different set of standards.
For the December quarter, Apple forecast revenue of
$52 billion, below estimates of $55 billion, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.
It expects margins of 36 percent, far lower than analysts' expectations of 43
percent.
Evercore lowered the price target of the stock to $775
from $800, Raymond James cuts the price target to $700 from $730 while Nomura
also lowered its target to $660 from $710.
Almost all analysts have preferred to focus on the
fall in gross margin, which Apple itself said would happen due to the large
number of products it recently launched.
The products cost money and as company executives
pointed out it had not compromised on the quality of its devices.
"The iPhone 5, iPod Touch, iPod Nano, iPad mini
and iMac all feature new form factors and our checks with the supply chain
indicate that many of these are very complex to manufacture and are likely
resulting in reduced production efficiencies," Nomura analysts said in a
note as they lowered their price target to $660 from $710.
Apple, apart from introducing the iPad Mini, has
refreshed almost all its devices including a full-sized iPad, which comes just
six months after the launch of the iPad 3.
Most of the analysts however expect gross margins to
recover by June next year as rising volumes are expected to offset the higher
costs of manufacturing.
this is a bogus reduction in price targets since the price and future expectations of earnings will not slow given the price is already at 11x forward earnings, and 13.5x current as hedge funds trying to buy in cheap. and knock the price down and shake out as much as they can for as cheap as they can before the next run up in anticipation of ipad mini sales and iphone 5 sales. the lions share of iphone sales will be in the next quarter. if it goes any lower to below 585 this will be stupidly cheap and will have a flood of buying.
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