Anthony Davis, a banking analyst and head of the financial institutions team at Stifel Nicolaus is a tad worried about some points that could affect the bank-stock rally in a negative way. According to
Davis, the growth rate of
banks pertaining to earnings has started to slow and loan growth will also be
weak. Revenue will also be influenced by short and long-term interest rates,
which will be at an all time low.
The banking industry is up against a tough obstacle. Stocks of banks are not cheap; data at Stifel Nicolaus shows clearly that all the banks in their roster trade at 13 times expected earnings over the next year, which is only 91% of the average from way back in 1995 through a year back.
Morgan Stanley(NYSE:MS) took the lead in Wall Street banks going up by 46 cents or 2.65% to $17.86 on Thursday. Citigroup Inc.(NYSE:C) and Zions Bancorporation(NASDAQ:ZION) moved up by 1.8 %, or 65 cents, to $35.79 and 2.5%, or 55 cents, to $22.41 respectively.
In the S&P 500 index, banks have always ruled the roost among the 10 industry groups within the index. The S&P 500 index has shot up by 7.5% after mid-July and 14.7% overall. The performance of banks has been consistent for the entire year and they have experienced a jump of 11% 23.8% overall in the above mentioned timelines.