Canadian handset maker Research In Motion Limited
(USA)(NASDAQ:RIMM) has been having a decent rally in the markets recently with
its stock having appreciated by nearly 50 percent in the last couple of weeks
on several upgrades.
The most recent upgrade has come from Goldman Sachs
which upgraded the stock to Buy on Thursday. It also raised the target price to
$16 from $9 in the next 12 months.
But can the stock sustain the rally for the long term?
Goldman Sachs had given investors a 30 percent chance
that RIM's new operating system Blackberry 10 will be a success. There's no
doubt that the new operating platform has received an enthusiastic response
from network carriers, but we will have to wait till December to actually find
out how it fares. Especially, how it stacks up against the formidable
competition from Goggle, Apple and Microsoft.
Morgan Stanley, it must be remembered, has urged
investors to sell the stock and termed it as `uninvestible'.
The difference between the approaches of the two
companies is that while Goldman Sachs has taken a call on its new operating
system, Morgan Stanley is taking a call on the company as a whole.
Analysts are prone to attribute the rally in the stock
to an absence of negative news, rather than anything actually positive about
the company.
RIM has its sights set on the third slot in the
marketplace - after Apple and Google. But then there are many other contenders
to that spot, notably Microsoft.
Shares of the company have recovered 90% from its all
time low of $6.22 in September. In fact, the stock was
up 35% in the past week.
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