Wednesday, November 28, 2012

Research In Motion Limited (NASDAQ:RIMM) Halts 8-Day Rally On Profit Taking

Shares of Research In Motion Limited (USA)(NASDAQ:RIMM) ultimately got clipped on Tuesday after eight successive sessions of profit that goosed the subjugated stock price of the Blackberry smartphone manufacturer by about 43%.

Will RIMM continue To Move Higher? Find Out Here

RIM shares were last down by over 10.52% to $0.72, leaving them with a health gain from the stock’s $8.50 trading range two weeks back. The profits have been driven primarily by more positive commentary from analyst of the Wall Street on the strategic launch of the new Blackberry 10 OS and smartphones that are expected to happen in the February and March months of 2013.

On the other hand, a few negative comments came to notice on Monday. An analyst from Morgan Stanley, Ehud Gelblum reiterated his Underweight rating and $7 price target on the stock. In his note to clients, he mentioned that the stock is ‘un-investable in the near-term’, considering the uncertainties that the business is facing.

Gelblum said that Morgan Stanley still believes that BB10 does not have much chance of achieving success. He included a comparison to the webOS that was released by Palm in 2009, which had won high marks for innovation but somehow failed to get much share in the smartphone market eventually.

Kevin Smithen from Macquarie Securities also took note of the latest run on the stock in a note that was issued on Monday. His take was comparatively positive, quoting his standpoint that the stock has oversold with predictions far too low on estimates for subscriber losses and flow of cash. He said that with the shares now nearing $12 based target, Macquarie Securities is becoming slightly more careful with the name.

A couple of analysts suggested that $17 may be a high-level value that can be expected from the stock, considering a successful launch of BlackBerry 10 OS.

RIM will update results for its third quarter on 20th December and they will not cover sales of BlackBerry 10 devices. However, they will specify whether the company has been capable of holding on to its subscriber base and flow of cash before the launch. 


  1. You forgot to mention a subscriber base of only 80 million and growing. Not bad for a company that is considered dead in the water with over 2.4 billion in the account and counting..

    Your forgetfulness is forgiven

  2. Gelblum fails to understand that Palm failed because they ran out of money when they launched webOS. Without any money to market and support the development, it died.

    RIM has over $2 Billion in cash, no debt, and a growing subscriber base. It will be able to go through at least 2 quarters before being in trouble (if not does not generate positive cash flow during that time).

    Morgan Stanley analysts need more analysis. But their credibility is suspect as Morgan Stanley themselves had to have a $108 Billion bailout (the most of all banks) in order to survive.

    1. On target with the 108 Billion comment above, if my investment planner need a $1.08 bailout I'd fire him and never listen to another word he said, Sorry M.S. you lost your street cred a long time ago ol trout


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