Market volatility is expected to rise in the near
future as analysts expect some kind of a rough ride after a historic decline
last year and a rally this year so far.
"We're likely to come into a period of volatility
that would be parallel to the volatility we saw when all of a sudden it was
realized we weren't going to get a deal on the 'fiscal cliff,'" John
Stoltzfus, chief market strategist at Oppenheimer said on CNBC.
"Overall the market is poised this year to
continue the process that we saw last year."
This could spell bad news for investors who may have
been hoping for gains this year after a number of much-fancied stocks failed to
live up to expectations. But the uncertainty in Washington is likely to
translate into turmoil in the markets this year.
The compromise deal over the so-called fiscal cliff
resulted in a 39 percent drop in the CBOE Volatility Index. Volatility rose
late in the year when Washington technically missed the Dec. 31 deadline to get
a deal done. The index has been moving higher so far this week, CNBC said.
The cliff entailed a series of severe tax increases
and spending cuts that were averted in a last-minute deal which halted
immediate panic but left a string of nagging concerns that will be addressed
over the next two months.
Higher levels of volatility make it difficult for
investors to gauge and predict stock movements and arrive at investment
decisions.
The nation still has to do something about the $16.4
trillion debt ceiling which may be likely breached in another month or so.
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